TY - JOUR
T1 - Complementary Role of Hypothermia Identification to the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score in Predicting Patients With Sepsis at High Risk of Mortality
T2 - A Retrospective Analysis From a Multicenter, Observational Study
AU - Kushimoto, Shigeki
AU - Gando, Satoshi
AU - Ogura, Hiroshi
AU - Umemura, Yutaka
AU - Saitoh, Daizoh
AU - Mayumi, Toshihiko
AU - Fujishima, Seitaro
AU - Abe, Toshikazu
AU - Shiraishi, Atsushi
AU - Ikeda, Hiroto
AU - Kotani, Joji
AU - Miki, Yasuo
AU - Shiraishi, Shin Ichiro
AU - Suzuki, Koichiro
AU - Suzuki, Yasushi
AU - Takeyama, Naoshi
AU - Takuma, Kiyotsugu
AU - Tsuruta, Ryosuke
AU - Yamaguchi, Yoshihiro
AU - Yamashita, Norio
AU - Aikawa, Naoki
N1 - Funding Information:
The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This study was funded and supported by the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine.
Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2018.
PY - 2020/5/1
Y1 - 2020/5/1
N2 - Background: Although the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) has been recommended for identifying patients at higher risk of hospital death, it has only a 60% sensitivity for in-hospital mortality. On the other hand, hypothermia associates with increased mortality and organ failure in patients with sepsis. This study aimed to assess the predictive validity of qSOFA for identifying patients with sepsis at higher risk of multiple organ dysfunction or death and the complementary effect of hypothermia. Methods: Patients with severe sepsis admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) were retrospectively analyzed. The predictive validities of qSOFA (≥2, positive) and the complementary effect of hypothermia (body temperature ≤36.5°C) for the identification of death or multiorgan dysfunction were evaluated. Results: Of the 624 patients, 230 (36.9%) developed multiorgan dysfunction and 144 (23.1%) died within 28 days; 527 (84.5%) had a positive qSOFA. The 28-day mortality rates of patients with positive and negative qSOFA were 25.4% and 10.3%, respectively (P =.001). The rate of positive qSOFA was higher in patients with multiorgan dysfunction (sensitivity, 0.896; specificity, 0.185) and among patients who died within 28 days (sensitivity, 0.931; specificity, 0.181); 10 (6.9%) of 144 deaths were not identified. In cases of positive qSOFA without hypothermia, positive qSOFA + hypothermia, or negative qSOFA with hypothermia, the predictive value for 28-day mortality improved (sensitivity, 0.979). Among the 144 patients who died, only 3 were not identified. Conclusion: A qSOFA score ≥2 may identify >90% of 28-day deaths among patients with severe sepsis; hypothermia may complement the predictive ability of qSOFA.
AB - Background: Although the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) has been recommended for identifying patients at higher risk of hospital death, it has only a 60% sensitivity for in-hospital mortality. On the other hand, hypothermia associates with increased mortality and organ failure in patients with sepsis. This study aimed to assess the predictive validity of qSOFA for identifying patients with sepsis at higher risk of multiple organ dysfunction or death and the complementary effect of hypothermia. Methods: Patients with severe sepsis admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) were retrospectively analyzed. The predictive validities of qSOFA (≥2, positive) and the complementary effect of hypothermia (body temperature ≤36.5°C) for the identification of death or multiorgan dysfunction were evaluated. Results: Of the 624 patients, 230 (36.9%) developed multiorgan dysfunction and 144 (23.1%) died within 28 days; 527 (84.5%) had a positive qSOFA. The 28-day mortality rates of patients with positive and negative qSOFA were 25.4% and 10.3%, respectively (P =.001). The rate of positive qSOFA was higher in patients with multiorgan dysfunction (sensitivity, 0.896; specificity, 0.185) and among patients who died within 28 days (sensitivity, 0.931; specificity, 0.181); 10 (6.9%) of 144 deaths were not identified. In cases of positive qSOFA without hypothermia, positive qSOFA + hypothermia, or negative qSOFA with hypothermia, the predictive value for 28-day mortality improved (sensitivity, 0.979). Among the 144 patients who died, only 3 were not identified. Conclusion: A qSOFA score ≥2 may identify >90% of 28-day deaths among patients with severe sepsis; hypothermia may complement the predictive ability of qSOFA.
KW - body temperature
KW - critical care
KW - mortality
KW - quick SOFA
KW - sepsis
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U2 - 10.1177/0885066618761637
DO - 10.1177/0885066618761637
M3 - Article
C2 - 29544388
AN - SCOPUS:85044086333
SN - 0885-0666
VL - 35
SP - 502
EP - 510
JO - Journal of Intensive Care Medicine
JF - Journal of Intensive Care Medicine
IS - 5
ER -