The forecasting model of CO 2 emissions up to 2050 for residential sector of Taiwan

Yushiuan Cheng, Toshiharu Ikaga, Yuki Yanai

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

In the past two decades, CO 2 emissions in Taiwan have sharply increased, but models for forecasting the future trend are still insufficient. In this study, based on the energy consumption of residential sector from 1990 to 2010, CO 2 emissions were estimated up to 2050 using the macro simulation method. The model presents the final energy consumption and CO 2 emissions by category of fuels and final usages. Several scenarios were applied to examine the possibility of achieving the goal set by the government; the most effective result shows 27% reduction by 2020 and 64% reduction of CO 2 emissions by 2050.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)633-638
Number of pages6
JournalAIJ Journal of Technology and Design
Volume18
Issue number39
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2012 Jul 30

    Fingerprint

Keywords

  • CO emissions
  • Energy conservation
  • Forecasting
  • Residential building
  • Taiwan

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Architecture
  • Building and Construction

Cite this