The impact of divorce precedents on the Japanese divorce rate

Kei Sakata; C. R. McKenzie

doi:10.1016/j.matcom.2008.10.002

The impact of divorce precedents on the Japanese divorce rate

Kei Sakata, C. R. McKenzie

Faculty of Economics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper undertakes a time series analysis of the Japanese divorce rate using annual data over the period 1964-2006. One of the key innovations of the paper is to use court decisions on divorce disputes to construct an index that seeks to measure how the probability of success in a divorce suit has changed over time. The computed index suggests that if it is the culpable party lodging the divorce suit, the probability of the suit being successful has clearly increased over time. The probability of winning a divorce suit appears to be an important factor in explaining the long-run rise in the Japanese divorce rate. The divorce rate also appears to be counter-cyclical.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	2917-2926
Number of pages	10
Journal	Mathematics and Computers in Simulation
Volume	79
Issue number	9
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2008.10.002
Publication status	Published - 2009 May

Keywords

Divorce
Japan
Precedent
Time series analysis

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Theoretical Computer Science
Computer Science(all)
Numerical Analysis
Modelling and Simulation
Applied Mathematics

Access to Document

10.1016/j.matcom.2008.10.002

Cite this

@article{df9d8a1f64bf4f5bb44475ef68a32303,

title = "The impact of divorce precedents on the Japanese divorce rate",

abstract = "This paper undertakes a time series analysis of the Japanese divorce rate using annual data over the period 1964-2006. One of the key innovations of the paper is to use court decisions on divorce disputes to construct an index that seeks to measure how the probability of success in a divorce suit has changed over time. The computed index suggests that if it is the culpable party lodging the divorce suit, the probability of the suit being successful has clearly increased over time. The probability of winning a divorce suit appears to be an important factor in explaining the long-run rise in the Japanese divorce rate. The divorce rate also appears to be counter-cyclical.",

keywords = "Divorce, Japan, Precedent, Time series analysis",

author = "Kei Sakata and McKenzie, {C. R.}",

note = "Funding Information: The first author wishes to acknowledge the financial assistance provided by the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Grant in Aid for Scientific Research No. 18730200 for a project on the “The Effect of Japan's Tax and Social Welfare System on Women's Work Behaviour and Divorce Decisions”. The authors would like to thank Fumio Ohtake, Jim Raymo, members of the Family Economics Research Group, and an anonymous referee for their comments on earlier versions of this paper An earlier version of this paper, Sakata and McKenzie [21] , was presented at the MODSIM 2007 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation held in Christchurch, New Zealand in December 2007.",

year = "2009",

month = may,

doi = "10.1016/j.matcom.2008.10.002",

language = "English",

volume = "79",

pages = "2917--2926",

journal = "Mathematics and Computers in Simulation",

issn = "0378-4754",

publisher = "Elsevier",

number = "9",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - The impact of divorce precedents on the Japanese divorce rate

AU - Sakata, Kei

AU - McKenzie, C. R.

N1 - Funding Information: The first author wishes to acknowledge the financial assistance provided by the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Grant in Aid for Scientific Research No. 18730200 for a project on the “The Effect of Japan's Tax and Social Welfare System on Women's Work Behaviour and Divorce Decisions”. The authors would like to thank Fumio Ohtake, Jim Raymo, members of the Family Economics Research Group, and an anonymous referee for their comments on earlier versions of this paper An earlier version of this paper, Sakata and McKenzie [21] , was presented at the MODSIM 2007 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation held in Christchurch, New Zealand in December 2007.

PY - 2009/5

Y1 - 2009/5

N2 - This paper undertakes a time series analysis of the Japanese divorce rate using annual data over the period 1964-2006. One of the key innovations of the paper is to use court decisions on divorce disputes to construct an index that seeks to measure how the probability of success in a divorce suit has changed over time. The computed index suggests that if it is the culpable party lodging the divorce suit, the probability of the suit being successful has clearly increased over time. The probability of winning a divorce suit appears to be an important factor in explaining the long-run rise in the Japanese divorce rate. The divorce rate also appears to be counter-cyclical.

AB - This paper undertakes a time series analysis of the Japanese divorce rate using annual data over the period 1964-2006. One of the key innovations of the paper is to use court decisions on divorce disputes to construct an index that seeks to measure how the probability of success in a divorce suit has changed over time. The computed index suggests that if it is the culpable party lodging the divorce suit, the probability of the suit being successful has clearly increased over time. The probability of winning a divorce suit appears to be an important factor in explaining the long-run rise in the Japanese divorce rate. The divorce rate also appears to be counter-cyclical.

KW - Divorce

KW - Japan

KW - Precedent

KW - Time series analysis

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=67349250943&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=67349250943&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.10.002

DO - 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.10.002

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:67349250943

SN - 0378-4754

VL - 79

SP - 2917

EP - 2926

JO - Mathematics and Computers in Simulation

JF - Mathematics and Computers in Simulation

IS - 9

ER -

The impact of divorce precedents on the Japanese divorce rate

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this