Can News Be a Major Source of Aggregate Fluctuations? A Bayesian DSGE Approach

Ippei Fujiwara, Yasuo Hirose, Mototsugu Shintani

研究成果: Article査読

53 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

We examine whether the news shocks, as explored in Beaudry and Portier (2004), can be a major source of aggregate fluctuations. For this purpose, we extend a standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Evans (2005) and Smets and Wouters (2003, 2007) by allowing news shocks on the total factor productivity (TFP), and estimate the model using Bayesian methods. Estimation results on the U.S. and Japanese economies suggest that (i) news shocks play a relatively more important role in the United States than in Japan, (ii) a news shock with a longer forecast horizon has larger effects on nominal variables, and (iii) the overall effect of the TFP on hours worked becomes ambiguous in the presence of news shocks.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)1-29
ページ数29
ジャーナルJournal of Money, Credit and Banking
43
1
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2011 2

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 会計
  • 財務
  • 経済学、計量経済学

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