Development of project outcome prediction system for an IT vendor

Tomoyuki Kawamura, Kenichi Takano

研究成果: Conference contribution

1 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

Researchers have found that approximately 70% of information systems development projects in Japan have failed, thus increasing the demand for solutions that will raise expected project success rates. It is said that to improve success rates, it is essential that risk management should be conducted at an early stage. Although risk management is an important process that a project focuses on, it is difficult to mitigate the influence of all the risks through only the project. Therefore, it is noted that support should be provided by the organization to which the projects belong. The study aims to identify projects that an organization should support preferentially by predicting a project outcome that utilizes the assessment results of the project risks at an early stage. The risks of 88 projects of a Japanese IT vendor were assessed using a risk assessment sheet, and a project outcome prediction model was developed by utilizing the results of the assessment. As a consequence, a model with 73.9% predictive accuracy was obtained. It is thought that the system, including the risk assessment sheet and the project outcome prediction model, will contribute to identify projects that an organization should support preferentially.

本文言語English
ホスト出版物のタイトルProceedings - 22nd Asia-Pacific Software Engineering Conference, APSEC 2015
編集者Jing Sun, Y. Raghu Reddy, Arun Bahulkar, Anjaneyulu Pasala
出版社IEEE Computer Society
ページ338-345
ページ数8
ISBN(電子版)9781467396448
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2016 5 9
イベント22nd Asia-Pacific Software Engineering Conference, APSEC 2015 - New Delhi, India
継続期間: 2015 12 12015 12 4

出版物シリーズ

名前Proceedings - Asia-Pacific Software Engineering Conference, APSEC
2016-May
ISSN(印刷版)1530-1362

Other

Other22nd Asia-Pacific Software Engineering Conference, APSEC 2015
国/地域India
CityNew Delhi
Period15/12/115/12/4

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • ソフトウェア

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