TY - JOUR
T1 - Eliciting Subjective Probabilities in Anscombe and Aumann's Model
AU - Hokari, Toru
AU - Yao, Masayuki
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 World Scientific Publishing Company.
PY - 2016/6/1
Y1 - 2016/6/1
N2 - In this note, we propose an alternative version of Anscombe and Aumann's Subjective Expected Utilities (SEU) representation theorem. In Anscombe and Aumann's model, a randomizing device with objective probabilities is available. As pointed out by Sarin and Wakker, when such a randomizing device is available, there is a natural and direct method to elicit subjective probabilities. Anscombe and Aumann did not use this method, but employed an indirect way to derive subjective probabilities. We investigate what happens if we use this direct method to elicit subjective probabilities in Anscombe and Aumann's model.
AB - In this note, we propose an alternative version of Anscombe and Aumann's Subjective Expected Utilities (SEU) representation theorem. In Anscombe and Aumann's model, a randomizing device with objective probabilities is available. As pointed out by Sarin and Wakker, when such a randomizing device is available, there is a natural and direct method to elicit subjective probabilities. Anscombe and Aumann did not use this method, but employed an indirect way to derive subjective probabilities. We investigate what happens if we use this direct method to elicit subjective probabilities in Anscombe and Aumann's model.
KW - Anscombe-Aumann's model
KW - Subjective probability
KW - expected utility
KW - representation theorem
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U2 - 10.1142/S0218488516500203
DO - 10.1142/S0218488516500203
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84974707594
SN - 0218-4885
VL - 24
SP - 405
EP - 410
JO - International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowlege-Based Systems
JF - International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowlege-Based Systems
IS - 3
ER -