Eliciting Subjective Probabilities in Anscombe and Aumann's Model

Toru Hokari, Masayuki Yao

研究成果: Article

抜粋

In this note, we propose an alternative version of Anscombe and Aumann's Subjective Expected Utilities (SEU) representation theorem. In Anscombe and Aumann's model, a randomizing device with objective probabilities is available. As pointed out by Sarin and Wakker, when such a randomizing device is available, there is a natural and direct method to elicit subjective probabilities. Anscombe and Aumann did not use this method, but employed an indirect way to derive subjective probabilities. We investigate what happens if we use this direct method to elicit subjective probabilities in Anscombe and Aumann's model.

元の言語English
ページ(範囲)405-410
ページ数6
ジャーナルInternational Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowlege-Based Systems
24
発行部数3
DOI
出版物ステータスPublished - 2016 6 1

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Software
  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Information Systems

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