The real exchange rate and real interest differentials: The role of the trend-cycle decomposition

研究成果: Article査読

2 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

We propose an alternative model and method to reconcile the puzzling feature in the relationship between the real exchange rate and real interest rate differentials. Our simple two-country model with preset prices, along with firms' misperception about the future exchange rate, implies that the real exchange rate follows an ARIMA(0,1,p) process. This allows us to compute the exact Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, which is a model-consistent decomposition. In accordance with our model, unit roots in the real exchange rates are found; and statistical inference is partially found to be affirmative regarding the link between the real exchange rate detrended by the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition and corresponding real interest differentials.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)968-987
ページ数20
ジャーナルEconomic Inquiry
50
4
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2012 10月
外部発表はい

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • ビジネス、管理および会計(全般)
  • 経済学、計量経済学

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